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Envisioning a Future Without IPv6

IPv6J H Woodyatt has written a rather pessimistic essay, arguing that the transition from IPv4 to IPv6 will never happen.

There’s too much financial inertia keeping us all behind our NAT-shared addresses, says the essay, too many disputed grandfathered gerrymanderings, and not nearly enough active pressure for change.

“The Internet will turn out to be, always and forever, the IPv4/NAT-only Internet we have today.”

As a result, the prediction goes, the cost of IPv4 addresses will go up and up as the supply of non-allocated ones goes down.

It’s a dark view.

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